Description

This analysis provides a forecast of BCH prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-11-10 00:00:00+00:00 0.004231 0.004452 0.004679 0.004930 0.005200 0.005481 0.005797
2024-11-17 00:00:00+00:00 0.003800 0.004125 0.004472 0.004873 0.005324 0.005818 0.006402
2024-11-24 00:00:00+00:00 0.003528 0.003910 0.004330 0.004829 0.005409 0.006066 0.006873
2024-12-01 00:00:00+00:00 0.003309 0.003725 0.004194 0.004765 0.005445 0.006239 0.007244
2024-12-08 00:00:00+00:00 0.003204 0.003660 0.004184 0.004835 0.005631 0.006584 0.007827
2024-12-15 00:00:00+00:00 0.003080 0.003562 0.004123 0.004835 0.005724 0.006813 0.008272
2024-12-22 00:00:00+00:00 0.002955 0.003452 0.004042 0.004801 0.005767 0.006975 0.008633
2024-12-29 00:00:00+00:00 0.002819 0.003323 0.003928 0.004718 0.005740 0.007041 0.008864
2025-01-05 00:00:00+00:00 0.002705 0.003215 0.003834 0.004653 0.005728 0.007122 0.009115
2025-01-12 00:00:00+00:00 0.002632 0.003154 0.003796 0.004656 0.005803 0.007316 0.009528
2025-01-19 00:00:00+00:00 0.002493 0.003006 0.003640 0.004498 0.005656 0.007203 0.009499
2025-01-26 00:00:00+00:00 0.002436 0.002958 0.003611 0.004505 0.005728 0.007390 0.009904
2025-02-02 00:00:00+00:00 0.002422 0.002965 0.003654 0.004611 0.005941 0.007784 0.010641
2025-02-09 00:00:00+00:00 0.002344 0.002888 0.003583 0.004559 0.005933 0.007863 0.010911
2025-02-16 00:00:00+00:00 0.002276 0.002820 0.003523 0.004518 0.005937 0.007959 0.011210
2025-02-23 00:00:00+00:00 0.002205 0.002747 0.003452 0.004460 0.005912 0.008009 0.011438
2025-03-02 00:00:00+00:00 0.002184 0.002740 0.003468 0.004524 0.006066 0.008331 0.012115
2025-03-09 00:00:00+00:00 0.002141 0.002701 0.003441 0.004524 0.006125 0.008511 0.012572
2025-03-16 00:00:00+00:00 0.002089 0.002649 0.003394 0.004493 0.006135 0.008615 0.012906
2025-03-23 00:00:00+00:00 0.002025 0.002577 0.003318 0.004417 0.006074 0.008603 0.013041
2025-03-30 00:00:00+00:00 0.001969 0.002516 0.003254 0.004357 0.006035 0.008624 0.013232
2025-04-06 00:00:00+00:00 0.001936 0.002487 0.003234 0.004360 0.006091 0.008798 0.013703
2025-04-13 00:00:00+00:00 0.001857 0.002391 0.003117 0.004216 0.005914 0.008586 0.013468